ADSK Trade on Aug 26, 2021 15:44 from Marius: Tradervue User Stock Trades.

Gravatar

Shared by
Marius

 

Tail-end of corporate earnings season and approaching EOM. Monetary policy updates with central bank at the annual Jackson Hole event EOW. Lighter volume to start the week but market waiting for any less likely un-priced in announcements. Continued dovish commentary was reiterated by Powell and market rallied into the end of the week.

Fundamentals In Play Analysis

Autodesk reported a beat and raise for the prior quarter. The revenue guidance was only raised on the lower end and up modestly from prior guidance. The company is also approaching difficult remaining RPO comps in 2H21. The EBA's are also shifting from multi-year paid upfront to annual billings.

(partial data review)

Quantitative Analysis

Intraday Fundamentals

RVOL 4.49
AVOL 1.13M
ATR 6.39
Beta 1.33
Volatility 1.75% 1.86%
Short Float 0.75%
Shs Float 219.31M
Inst Own 90.50%
Market Cap 74.40B

Options Statistics + Tape Reading + Order Flow + Dark Pool Levels + Flow Sentiment

SI 6.494
IV 33.15%
IVP 27%
P/C 0.703
VWAP 313.73

image

(partial data review)
image

Options Positioning

OI 323 1011
VOL 380 900
Delta .03 .01
Theta -.15 -.08
Vega .01 .00
Gamma .00 .00
Prob T 4.97% 1.92%
Prob ITM 2.46% 0.95%
MMM +/- 7.12
IV Series 41.63%

image

Earnings Statistics

image

Technical Analysis

image
image

Trade Setup/Execution Grade + Risk (risk:premium) + Positioning + Size/Allocation Management & Review

(A) setup / (B) execution. 1/2RP, conservative positioning, ~25% allocation. OGT but executed hybrid desk/mobile. May have traded it more aggressively but keeping in mind the wider spreads even w/ elevated RVOL. The report was good but notable profit taking w/ the stock running ~20% since the last ER.

Weekly Trading Review

Overall good setups taken and within risk + allocation parameters. Added more trades end of the week within my playbook but on desk/mobile. The review for this week is 2 weeks after executions and still a good practice in my overall trading. Need to keep in mind to review this on the week of so things are still fresh and I'll be able to dedicate more time to it. I was traveling so I may have to update my process so this can be done remotely in future instances.


Execution detail:

Date/time Symbol Side Price Position
2021-08-26 15:44:05 27 AUG 21 340 CALL sell $0.1400 short
2021-08-26 15:44:05 27 AUG 21 360 CALL buy $0.0700 long
2021-08-27 15:59:59 27 AUG 21 340 CALL buy $0.0000 0
2021-08-27 15:59:59 27 AUG 21 360 CALL sell $0.0000 0


Leave a comment about this trade!

You need to log into your Tradervue account to leave a comment. If you don't have one,
it takes just a few seconds to sign up, and it's free!

View plans, Sign up for free, or Log in