Looking for good r/r long opportunities after the fast & furious 3-day sell-off.
$XLF did a round-trip to pre-Covid high=$31, being wayy over-extended even from
$31 support level held yesterday almost to the penny ($31.05), so today
-- Got long Tier 0 -lucky fill after FOMC volatility- risking stop $29.5s, 1.5xATR=$1.5 below the suppport pivot $31
-- Expecting buyers to defend the level and $XLF have a sharp move away from price
-- 1st target 9SMA@daily, 2nd target 9SMA@weekly
06-24-2022
Some profit taking. Let's see how it will trade around $32.5-33 and if it can push higher, towards $33. If sellers step down & it starts getting rejected here for consecutive days, it may roll-over.
06-28-2022
Getting loser to main target 9SMA@weekly & $33 area. $33 area is confluence of resistance with SMAs@daily & weekly timeframes, and daily support pivots converging into. Tried to push at the open but got sold quickly.
Sold some, but probably not as much as I would like to, given how the day progressed and the candle it put.
Let's tighten stops here as follows for the remaining size:
-- 50% below 9SMA@daily & $31.5
-- rest 50% below 200SMA@weekly & $30
07-14-2022
$JPM terrible ER #s (some -28% rev. YoY etc. etc.), but had managed risk very well, I was comfortable with my size, so the gap-down right in-front of the 200SMA@weekly looked good for an add..
-- Added 0.5xTier 0 in-front of the 200SMA@weekly when I saw that the SMA held support to the penny, w/o funky business below it, risking stop below $30 for the whole position
-- Expecting buyers to show up and defend the level, $XLF push higher. Not exactly the best action and close..Holding tight.
07-18-2022
Played well. Sold 1/3 into previous daily resistance pivot=$32.5s.
Nasty rejection today, I don't want to see it below $31 again.
Stop remains same, below 200SMA@weekly & $30 whole number.
07-29-2022
Daily gap fill at $33.7s done. Trimmed position into the rally.
Looking great, holding really well.
Updated trailing stop is 32.3s for remaining size
Execution detail:
Date/time | Symbol | Side | Price | Position |
---|---|---|---|---|
2022-06-15 14:33:20 | XLF | buy | $31.110 | long |
2022-06-16 10:20:36 | XLF | buy | $30.706 | long |
2022-06-16 10:26:35 | XLF | buy | $30.860 | long |
2022-06-24 10:01:11 | XLF | sell | $31.890 | long |
2022-06-24 15:25:11 | XLF | sell | $32.330 | long |
2022-06-27 07:00:00 | XLF | sell | $32.500 | long |
2022-06-28 09:52:26 | XLF | sell | $32.840 | long |
2022-06-28 10:03:32 | XLF | sell | $32.715 | long |
2022-06-30 09:30:02 | XLF | sell | $31.221 | long |
2022-06-30 10:13:53 | XLF | buy | $31.020 | long |
2022-06-30 10:15:05 | XLF | buy | $31.055 | long |
2022-06-30 13:43:19 | XLF | sell | $31.565 | long |
2022-07-14 10:04:35 | XLF | buy | $30.498 | long |
2022-07-15 15:13:31 | XLF | sell | $31.850 | long |
2022-07-18 08:31:11 | XLF | sell | $32.020 | long |
2022-07-18 09:33:51 | XLF | sell | $32.430 | long |
2022-07-18 09:45:42 | XLF | sell | $32.280 | long |
2022-07-20 12:04:13 | XLF | sell | $32.680 | long |
2022-07-22 09:31:45 | XLF | sell | $33.090 | long |
2022-07-29 10:02:18 | XLF | sell | $33.690 | long |
2022-08-08 10:40:03 | XLF | sell | $33.935 | long |
2022-08-10 09:52:26 | XLF | sell | $34.565 | long |
2022-08-11 09:00:04 | XLF | sell | $34.940 | long |
2022-08-11 10:26:15 | XLF | sell | $35.155 | 0 |
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